1. CENTRAL/ WEST AFRICA
Prices for West African logs show slight strength Over the last fortnight, prices for some West African log species have shown some strength where there has been demand from India, China and Vietnam. However, the majority of prices were unchanged due to the dull market conditions. A few species have shed around EUR3 to EUR5/m³ or so through lack of buyer interest rather than the result of actual sales. Demand has been only moderate and exporters had no great expectations of any sudden revival in the short to medium term, and production remains at an ongoing low level.
Europe was still very quiet and demand for logs for traditional French and German buyers was extremely limited. Sawn lumber prices were stagnant and seem likely to remain so through the current quarter. Even the European spring weather that usually turns buyers’ minds towards topping up stock levels for a more active phase in building activity has this year not led to a rise in inquiries, and even fewer new contracts. Sapele prices were still low, while other prices seem once again to be unchanged. West African sawmills in most areas have either closed or were operating at low capacity. In other news, the Gabon government released details of the 2009 log quota, which is set at just above 1.5 million m³.
2. GHANA
Plywood contracts show gains in fourth quarter 2008 A total contract volume of 152,244 m³ and 9,507 pieces of furniture parts were processed and approved during the quarter under review. These represent drops of 10.2% and 38.2% respectively, when compared to the figures achieved during the third quarter of 2008. With the exception of plywood contracts, which increased 68.3%, and were 75,882 m³ by volume, the volume of contracts processed and approved for all major exportable products fell during the quarter under review when compared to the previous quarter.
Export volumes of lumber, rotary veneer and sliced veneer decreased by 26.5%, 9.8% and 7.5% respectively. There was a sharp drop in the export volume of logs/poles/billets, which were 13,732 m³, representing a decrease of 70.95% when compared to the previous quarter. The difficulty in securing contracts from the European and the American markets shifted the attention of most integrated mills to the West African sub-region where plywood is readily available. This resulted in a high volume of plywood contracts being issued during the quarter under review. Plywood contributed 49.8% to the total wood products export volume.
The TIDD contract offices in Kumasi, Accra and Sunyani processed and approved 14.5%, 0.5% and 48.5%, respectively, of total wood products approved during the quarter under review. These three offices together contributed 63.5% of the total volume of wood products approved. The high percentage of contracts attributed to the Sunyani office was mainly due to the high volume of plywood approved during the quarter. The office approved 58,607 m³ of plywood, representing 38.5% of the total contract volume.
Regarding price and market performance, prices were generally down, especially during the last month of the quarter under review. This has been attributed to the global economic downturn and the credit crunch in Germany, the UK, Italy and the US, the major destinations of Ghana’s wood products. Inquiries from most buyers also revealed that this situation has seriously affected the building industry, which is the main consumer of Ghana’s wood products. It has become very difficult to obtain credit from financial institutions and debtors have taken advantage of the situation by not paying for already bought timber.
Prices generally dropped between EUR5/m³ and EUR20/m³ below the TIDD minimum Guiding Selling Prices (GSP) for lumber and rotary veneer. Odum lumber, for example, fell as low as EUR40/m³ below the TIDD minimum Guiding Selling Prices (GSP). Notwithstanding the above, plywood to West African markets performed notably well during the quarter under review. Depending on the thickness, plywood prices increased between USD10/m³ and USD50/m³ over the TIDD minimum Guiding Selling Prices (GSP).
3. MALAYSIA
Sarawak state government reduces timber royalty The Sarawak state government has reduced the 2009 timber royalty to a flat rate of RM50 for all timber with a diameter of 30cm or more, reported The Star. The reduction derived from an appeal by the Sarawak Timber Association (STA), after the state forestry department had increased the royalty to RM65 four months ago. However, the government rejected STA’s appeal for a 50% discount on the timber royalty extracted from agri-conversion land and for timber with a diameter of between 30cm and 40cm. The royalty will increase to RM55 by 2010 and RM65 in 2011.
Minister expects exports to reach RM20 billion According to Bernama, Deputy Plantation Industries and Commodities Minister Mr. A. Kohilan speculated that demand for Malaysian timber products from Central Asia, India and Eastern Europe could help Malaysia achieve at least RM20 billion in exports in 2009. He also said the federal government has launched an afforestation programme, which is managed by the Malaysian Timber Industry Board (MTIB). A target of 25,000 ha has been earmarked for afforestation yearly over a period of 15 years, which would result in a total of 375,000 ha afforested. Fourteen companies are said to be participating in this programme, with an area of nearly 60,000 ha afforested to date.
Malaysia’s exports fall 15.9% in February Malaysia’s exports fell 15.9% in February 2009, when compared to February 2008 exports, as reported on CNBC.com. Exports in January 2009 declined 27.8% compared to the previous year, the steepest decline in nearly 30 years. Economists commented that the current economy is performing better than predicted, but cautioned that a decline in exports at least over the next few months will hover in the realm of 20%.
Timber prices steady but may not hold Prices of Malaysian timber products remain weak but steady as thunderstorms continue to hammer the country, making timber extraction difficult. However, prices are not expected to hold. Foreclosures of both private and commercial properties were on the increase in the wake of massive layoffs by major MNCs and a slump in domestic demand. At the forefront of the layoffs were suppliers of major building/construction material and household accessories.
Prices of residential properties, often propped up by foreign investors and speculators, may actually decline for the first time. Some analysts commented that the Malaysian economy will take 2 to 3 years to recover, and will do so only after there is some upturn in the US economy.
4. INDONESIA
Indonesian economic stimulus package to be released soon According to Antara News, the Indonesian government is currently processing its Rp73.3 trillion economic stimulus package and will begin to allocate funds by end April 2009. Indonesia, the most populated state in South-East Asia has been facing its worst recession in modern history. The government was hopeful the stimulus would help address the various issues posed by unemployment in the country.
Sales of forestry equipment plunge for PT United Tractors Forestry Minister MS Kaban said ‘chronic ailments’ affecting Indonesian forests would take a long time to fix. As reported in Antara News, the minister indicated weak government control and mismanagement by forest concessionaries, timber estates and licensed plantations had contributed to the damage in the forests. Kaban noted the ailments were also affecting forest industries and timber companies, which had cut the state’s foreign exchange earning and spurred illegal logging and theft. To address some of these problems, Kaban drew attention to forest plantation activities undertaken by the government on the last three years, during which a total of USD1.9 million trees had been planted and which were expected to boost recovery of the forests.
Price declines trigger fears for mill owners and workers Reports are emerging that some sawmill and plywood mill owners in Indonesia may resort to arson to recoup their financial losses from recent months. Prices of Indonesian timber products declined sharply as exporters to traditional markets, e.g. Japan and the US, struggle under the weight of heavy corporate debts.
Potential investors in the Indonesian timber industry added that aging machinery, poor infrastructure and illiteracy are some of the biggest hindrances to investors. The high rate of illiteracy in Indonesia makes it difficult for companies to train and provide skilled workers required by the downstream and value-added timber industry.
Experts also noted that any collapse in prices of Indonesian timber products could trigger a similar chain reaction among timber producers in the region.
5. MYANMAR
Low trade expected as a result of holiday period Analysts expect not much work to be undertaken during April, with stock taking being done at the end of the Myanmar fiscal year and the Myanmar new year holiday, which occurs during 11-21 April. The last tender on 30 April resulted in some price rises for specific grades. Nevertheless, the quantity traded was small, so the price gains do not reflect the actual state of the market. April’s tender prices will be in FOB prices, with the remaining sales being done on an ex-works basis. Most analysts believe this will keep prices up, unless log parcels are graded poorly. The tender lots were reported to be mostly above average in quality.
In general, the market was reported to be very slow. Not many new orders for sawn teak were reported. However, some reports indicate the log market was showing slightly increasing strength. One analyst expected the situation to become clearer around June.
6. BRAZIL
AIMEX anticipates future problems in Pará’s forest sector According to Folha do Progresso, the Association of Timber Exporters Industries of the State of Pará (AIMEX) has indicated 2009 will be a problematic year for the forest sector in Pará. Exports from the state in January and February 2009 fell 60% by value and 65% by volume when compared to year 2007 results. Entrepreneurs working in the international market have recognized the global economic crisis has strongly impacted Pará’s industrial and manufactured timber products trade.
However, the delay in government approval of environmental permits has been cited as the primary reason for the current difficulties. Many noted that negative indicators in Pará’s timber sector have preceded the economic downturn, seemingly due to the delay in permit approval and the lack of available raw material, which has lasted for nearly five years.
The situation has become so serious that the state of Pará has begun to import timber, particularly from Bolivia. Pará was also buying timber from planted forests in other Amazonian states. These are considered emergency measures to meet the terms of the medium and long-term contracts with the European and American markets. According to AIMEX, these are illustrations of the crisis facing the forest sector over the last two decades.
Experts have urged the government to set policies that promote forest activities. Representatives from the timber sector have asked the government to invest quickly in forest concessions and forest plantation policies. AIMEX has said, given the timber sector’s severe financial crisis, the state government should take concrete actions to reduce the impact of the crisis in Pará’s economy. AIMEX also stressed that measures recently undertaken by the government, including the restructuring of the State Secretariat of the Environment (SEMA), were positive, but were insufficient to cope with an unprecedented crisis like the current one.
IBAMA and SEMA on the hunt for ‘ghost companies’ The Brazilian Institute of Environment and Renewable natural Resources (IBAMA), in collaboration with the Pará Secretary of the Environment (SEMA) and IBAMA regional offices, has continued to conduct investigations to identify ghost companies, which have fraudulently engaged in trade of forest products and by products. According to EcoDebate, the investigations, which were started in March 2009 (see TTM 14:5), have already stopped more than 100 companies selling illegal timber in the state capital (Belem) and other timber clusters of the state. According to the IBAMA regional office, the operation has generated nearly BRL100 million in fines, and fines are expected to reach over BRL1 billion at the end of the operation.
The operation focuses on companies that exist only on paper. The ghost companies are established to create a façade for the company to sell illegal products from protected areas, public forests and indigenous lands. In 2008, illegal trade in these products was responsible for over BRL 250 million. As part of the operation, IBAMA and its partners will block the operation of the ghost companies and seize any illegally traded timber or charcoal from the company. The amount of logs and charcoal seized so far has reached 10,000 m³ and 5,000 m³, respectively.
Business events expected to generate nearly USD13 million for furniture exporters The ‘International Purchaser Project’ Fair, held from 10- 12 March at the Movelpar 2009 Furniture Fair in the state of Paraná, promoted 402 businesses among 20 importers and 48 furniture manufacturers, fair exhibitors and participants, and was organized by Apex Brazil and ABIMOVEL (the Brazilian Furniture Association). Research conducted among importers from 17 countries at the Movelpar Fair indicated 75% of the meetings resulted in prospects for future business, estimated at USD12.9 million by value. A survey among the furniture producers indicated deals closed at the end of the business rounds were worth about USD3.8 million.
Portal Moveleiro has reported that one of the main obstacles for furniture manufacturers to overcome is the export crisis. Recently, Brazil has had to undertake measures to maintain its competitiveness in international markets. In recent months, the federal government had been asked to reduce taxes on particleboard imports to maintain the furniture sector’s competitiveness. Additionally, ABIMOVEL is establishing a partnership with design professionals to produce high quality furniture in order to heighten its competitiveness in the international market. To some, Brazil is considered to be more competitive than China in the international furniture market, since Brazil is known for having higher raw material quality and design. According to ABIMOVEL, Chinese furniture is more expensive due to a number of factors, including freight costs for exports and a reduction in the weekly working hours now set at 40 hours, whereas Brazilian workers clock over 44 hours.
Brazil exports about 10% of its furniture production. According to the Federal Secretary of Foreign Trade (SECEX), furniture exports fell 1.7% in 2008 compared to 2007. In January 2009, it dropped 27.4% compared to January 2007. Despite these negative indicators, there is a prospect of a 5% increase in sales to the domestic market and a 3% rise in sales to the international market. ABIMOVEL is also requesting the federal government reduce tax on industrialized products (IPI) from 10% to 5% and to include the furniture sector in the Growth Acceleration Program (PAC) for housing, which is expected to cost about BRL90 billion by 2010.
Furniture exports to Argentina drop 51% Sharp declines in Brazilian furniture exports to Argentina have been appearing, similar to a cycle observed in 2000 and 2001. This has been caused by a strong deceleration of the Argentinean economy, noted Gazeta Mercantil. The Association of Furniture Companies of Rio Grande do Sul (MOVERGS) reported that in the first bi-month of 2009, Brazil’s exports to Argentina were 51% less than the same period of last year (USD6.4 million in 2009, compared to USD13.1 million in 2008).
This was the worst fall since 2004. The average annual growth in exports to Argentina between 2004 and 2008 was 72% per year. However, the average drops to 39.5% if the first two months of 2009 are included. The annual average growth rate of Brazilian furniture exports between 2004-2008 was 10.6%, but if including results from the first two months of 2009, it slows down to only 2.1%.
Additionally, a new trade rule in Argentina requires importers to have an import license for Brazilian furniture products, which is considered to some a new obstacle in the bilateral relationship. The measure has been the subject of negotiation between the governments. Venezuela has already adopted the license system and Ecuador has recently increased import tax from 24.5% to 60.5%. These markets do not have enough mills to meet their demand.
One-third of shipments of Brazilian furniture go to the European Union (EU). However, the situation there is not unlike that in Argentina. In the first two months, exports to France decreased 38.6%, 19.1% to the United Kingdom, 11.1% to Germany, 11.5% to the Netherlands and 50% to Spain. Brazil closed its January - February balance with a 31.7% drop in furniture exports over the same period of 2008 (USD96.5 million against USD141.2 million in 2008).
Leadership transition in Brazilian Forest Service Antonio Carlos Hummel has been appointed the new Director General of the Brazilian Forest Service (BFS), replacing Tasso Azevado. Azevedo will now act in the capacity of special advisor to the Minister on forest and climate change issues and on matters relating to the Amazon Fund, an organization implementing forestry projects in that region. The new Director General of the BFS has been a career employee of IBAMA and in the last six years was responsible for overseeing the Department of Biodiversity and Forests. He has extensive experience on forestry issues, especially in the institutional development of the sector. As director of the BFS, he will be responsible for implementing and expanding the Brazilian forest concessions and for sustained production, and will oversee BFS’s role as focal point of the ITTO for Brazil.
7. PERU
Early 2009 exports drop 50% According to the Export Association of Peru (ADEX), Peru’s wood exports from January-February 2009 dropped 50% by value, when compared to the previous year. Exports also fell to USD19.6 million during 2009 from USD39.2 million from the same period in 2008.
Sawnwood represented 37.6% of sector exports. Exports in January-February 2009 were just over USD7 million, while for the same period in 2008 exports were USD20 million, a year-on-year decrease of 63%. The main markets for this sub-sector were Mexico, China, the US, and the Dominican Republic, which received 41%, 22%, 14%, 8% of sawnwood exports, respectively.
Semi-manufactured products accounted for 42% of wood sector exports and ware the principal export item in the wood sector. Exports in January-February 2009 were valued at USD8.3 million, while exports for the same period in 2008 were valued at USD10.3 million, marking a 19% drop in exports against 2008 levels. The main markets for this sub-sector were China, the US and Hong Kong, which received 80%, 9% and 5% of semimanufactured products, respectively.
Veneer and plywood exports for the January-February 2009 period were USD1.7 million, while exports for the same period in 2008 were valued at USD4.7 million, falling 62.6%. Results from the sub-sector show Mexico as the main market for Peru’s exports (78.7%) followed by Venezuela (15.4%), with other countries making up the remaining 5.9%.
Furniture exports were worth a value of USD1.1 million during the January-February 2009 period, a 56.2% decrease from the same period in 2008. The main market destination for these products was the US (58.7%), followed by Italy (21.5%).
During the January-February 2009 period, exports were concentrated in three markets representing 81.1% of total wood products exports. China represented 42.6% of exports in the sector, dropping 6.5% when compared to the previous year. Mexico followed, receiving 23% of exports, although this was a 70% drop in exports received in the previous year. The US was the third destination market, representing 15.3% of exports, although its level of imports has fallen 68.9% when compared to the same period in 2008.
8. BOLIVIA
9. Mexico
Mexico lowers annual deforestation average Mexico’s annual average deforestation rate fell from 348,000 hectares to 260,000 during the period from 2000 to 2005, according to data provided by the national forest inventory. This was considered encouraging for national policies designed to improve the state of Mexico’s vegetation and forests. This information on Mexico’s deforestation rate was included in the State of the World’s Forests 2009, published by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and presented at the nineteenth session of the Committee on Forestry (COFO) in Rome, Italy, from 16-20 March 2009.
During the last decade, the financial resources invested by Mexico have helped initiate or fortify processes of community development in 2,000 agrarian centers. In the present administration, this investment has reached 565 million pesos for communitarian forest management over 334,391 ha, through the national programmes ProTree and the Programme of Communitarian Forest Development (PROCYMAF). In the same period, it has addressed the technical management of 3.6 million hectares of forest and obtained sustainable forest management (SFM) certification for over 244,719 ha of land.
Additionally, forest representatives of 115 countries recognized Mexico’s contributions to mitigating climatic change, to prevent deforestation and fight the poverty in forest zones, particularly by way of community forest management and application of SFM. At the COFO session, Mexico suggested that SFM was an important element to address climate change and noted SFM and the Reduction of Emissions by Deforestation and Degradation (REDD) should be more broadly addressed in UN Framework Convention on Climatic Change. Mexico is in the process of elaborating a national program on climatic change and is considering how to adapt to and mitigate the effects of the phenomenon.
10. Guyana
Guyana’s prices show relative stability A comparison of prices from the period 16-31 March 2009 with the corresponding period in 2008 showed relative stability in log prices. Sawnwood prices have shown significant increases when compared to the same period of 2008. Plywood and roundwood prices have remained stable for the same period in 2008. Value-added products such as doors have shown a moderate increase in export value when compared to same period. The Caribbean market was the main destination for value-added exports. Outdoor garden furniture for the period under consideration recorded a comparatively high export value to the UK market. Mouldings have also shown a higher export value when compared to the same period of 2008.
Guyana to convene regional chainsaw milling workshop A regional workshop on chainsaw milling in the Guiana Shield/Caribbean will be convened in Georgetown, Guyana within the framework of the project ‘Developing alternatives for illegal chainsaw lumbering through multistakeholder dialogue in Ghana and Guyana’. The chainsaw milling project focuses on the broad theme of forest governance in Ghana and Guyana, where there has been a prevalence of chainsaw lumbering and different approaches have been taken to regulate this activity. The regional workshop targets decision-makers and scientists in the regions where chainsaw lumbering activities occur and aims to present issues and options for regulating chainsaw lumbering.
The project, from which the workshop originates, is funded by the EC and Tropenbos International and has embarked on research into the causes and consequences of chainsaw lumbering, to better understand the phenomenon in Ghana and Guyana. This research is being compiled into case studies for the two countries and will serve as inputs into two regional meetings designed to identify the main issues in West Africa and the Guiana Shield/Caribbean region. The findings from the regional meetings will be summarized in a synthesis paper that will be discussed and refined with participation from experts around the globe. The outputs of these exercises will be documented and distributed in a publication of the European Tropical Forest Research Network (ETFRN) News.
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