1. CENTRAL/ WEST AFRICA
Outlook for West African timber trade weak Very difficult trading conditions prevailed in West Africa. Although there has been relative stability in prices, this remains very much a function of low or no trade rather than an indication of normal business conditions. Steady buying for China has been perhaps the major stabilizing factor, although prices have been held at the current lower levels and are unlikely to improve in the short-to-medium term. Okan has been in better demand and prices have been higher by around EUR10-15m³. Other than this, there have been no price changes reported. Okoume has been selling, but volumes are well below what would have been considered normal in the early part of the year. Mill closures and reductions in staff are still being made. One large group in West Africa has closed a veneer mill because of low demand and build up of unsold stock, due in part to reduced furniture manufacturing activity and exports of veneer in Italy.
Other mills remain closed and companies are uncertain and nervous about trade prospects for the remainder of the year. Sawn lumber prices have appeared to be holding steady because of low trading volumes, rather than any real firmness in the market. Buying has been very slow and selective. Sapele has not made any recovery from its decline in demand and price. Reports indicate that sellers are taking very low offers to move stock and buyers are still reluctant to give shipping instructions for their overlying, previous contracts.
It is certain that the full effects of the financial crises in the US and UK are still to be felt in building construction and housing, and in furniture manufacturing and sales. The timber supplying sector is likely to be more seriously impacted as it seems inevitable that the house building slump will worsen and furniture sales will decline over the final quarter of the year and well into first quarter of 2009.
2. GHANA
TIDD contract approval rises 25% According to data from the Contract Section of the Timber Industry Development Division (TIDD) of the Forestry Commission of Ghana, a total contract volume of 196,201m³ was processed and approved during the second quarter of 2008. This represented a 25% increase over first quarter figures for 2008. Furniture parts processed and approved during the second quarter dropped by 78.2% to 11,948 pieces when compared to the first quarter.
The contract volumes for plywood, poles, billets and logs increased sharply in the second quarter. Plywood rose 41.1% while poles/billets/logs jumped by 104.7% when compared to the first quarter. Plywood contributed 34.1% of the total contract volume during the period under review, regaining its position as the highest contributor to total approved contract volumes.
With the exception of lumber and furniture parts, which dropped in volume 22.3% and 78.2% respectively when compared to the first quarter, contract volumes rose for all major exportable products. Compared to the previous quarter’s figures, contracts for sliced veneer, rotary veneer, finger-jointed and dowels increased 47.4%, 36.9%, 82.8% and 77.8%, respectively, representing volumes of 13,636m3; 6,565m3; 5,532m3 and 192m3.
Ghana’s market performance improves in second quarter Prices of Ghana’s timber and wood products, particularly teak logs and poles to India, improved by an average of USD30/m³ during the second quarter of 2008. The price rise was USD10/m³ more than the average of USD20/m3 in the first quarter. Harvesting from private teak plantations accounted for about 70% of the teak contracts approved during the second quarter.
While buyers adjusted prices of lumber upward to compensate for the fall in the value of the US dollar vis-àvis the euro, it was difficult to achieve the minimum Guiding Selling Prices (GSP) for plywood and rotary veneer, which form the bulk of exports to the American markets. Prices of ceiba rotary veneer were down an average of USD27/m³ when compared to the GSP of USD382/m3.
TIDD Pricing Committee removed the 5% price rebate on wood products to the US market, which had an impact on prices of plywood and rotary veneer. It is anticipated that buyers would gradually respond by adjusting prices upward to achieve the GSP during the third quarter.
A new rotary veneer processing line has been installed by John Bitar and Company Limited to manufacture rotary veneer with a thickness of 1mm and below. The first contract for the product was submitted to TIDD for approval during the second quarter, with prices of EUR1000/m3 for sapele/mahogany/edinam and EUR650/m3 for koto.
Prices of air-dried dahoma lumber to the Middle East, the main destination for this product, showed signs of improvement from the current asking price of USD350/m3. Prices of some contracts submitted for approval during the second quarter were between USD370/m3 and USD400/m3.
3. MALAYSIA
FMU developments bode well for Sabah plans Chief Minister Datuk Seri Musa Aman recently announced positive developments on reforestation in Sabah, said The Star. Musa had been present at the signing of an agreement and memorandum of understanding between Bornion Timber Sdn Bhd, China-based Guangdong Guangken Rubber Group Company Limited, Universiti Malaysia Sabah (UMS) and the Malaysian Rubber Board. The agreement allows the establishment of a rubber tree plantation in a Forest Management Unit (FMU) in Sabah. Musa noted that the project would provide local job opportunities and help achieve other plans within the Sabah Development Corridor (SDC). The project, which will cost RM230 million, will establish a plantation on 12,000 hectares of land, a rubber latex factory and a rubber wood processing plant.
Malaysia set to sign VPA with EU Bernama has reported that Malaysia is set to sign a bilateral Voluntary Partnership Agreement (VPA) with the EU. According to Mr. Cheah Kam Huan, the Malaysia Timber Council’s (MTC) chief executive officer, the signing of a VPA has the backing of various stakeholders, including the timber industry. The VPA would require Malaysia to ensure that illegally harvested timber is not sent to the EU. The Agreement is also expected to give Malaysia an edge in the EU market over countries that have not signed VPAs. Cheah said Malaysia is expected to sign the VPA with the EU by the end of this year or the beginning of 2009.
Furniture makers expect strong sales despite global economic slowdown The Deputy Director of the Indonesian Association of Furniture and Handicraft Industry (Asmindo), Basril Djabar, suggested that recent international furniture and handicraft exhibitions might be boosting sales of Indonesian furniture. The Jakarta Post noted that Indonesian furniture makers are expecting to generate nearly USD2.4 billion this year, up from USD1.9 billion in 2007. Already, USD1.2 billion has been earned during the first half of 2008, and Asmindo expects to generate the remaining projected amount from new markets such as the Middle East and Eastern Europe. A 26% increase in sales is expected this year, despite the global economic slowdown and soaring fuel prices. Asmindo expects to continue to sell tables, chairs and filing cabinets from rattan, wood and bamboo to traditional and new export markets.
Prices drop as construction sectors weaken Prices of Malaysian timber products declined as the various construction and housing sectors in the US and Europe continued to weaken. The strength of the US dollar against other major currencies also led to the lowering of Malaysian timber prices.
Timber businesses are optimistic that demand in Eastern Europe and the Middle-East markets will help to cushion the fall in prices. Prices of wooden furniture and plywood are expected to see marginal declines. A cooling trend in China’s real estate market is expected to spill into early 2009.
4. INDONESIA
Anti-corruption drive improves Indonesia’s survey rankings The Australian said Indonesia’s rankings on Transparency International’s (TI) corruption index had fallen from 143rd last year to 126th in 2008. The Indonesia director for Transparency International said that the rankings had improved due to the Government’s efforts to handle and eradicate corruption, including those actions taken by the Corruption Eradication Commission. However, the Indonesian TI office said that further actions, such as seizing corrupt state officials, were necessary to reduce corruption.
President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono noted that efforts to combat corruption would continue, according to Anatara News. He indicated this might slow down government performance or procurement of goods and services, but that the efforts should not stop. He said particular efforts were necessary to improve the justice sector.
Indonesian markets cautious despite strong timber exports Although the Indonesian economy’s growth is expected to be 6.4% in the second half of the year, this target could be threatened by a decline in commodity prices, said The Jakarta Post. If commodity prices slide, it is likely to reduce export revenue and could hurt capital markets. At present, however, the balance sheets of Indonesia’s commodity companies have remained strong.
Declining commodity prices and the depreciation of the rupiah have not yet adversely affected the Indonesian export market. Indonesian plywood exports have also been surging as a result of increasing orders from overseas buyers. This was particularly driven by the reconstruction efforts after storms damaged parts of Taiwan and China.
5. MYANMAR
Teak exports continue steady The market for teak seems to have neither improved nor declined since May 2008. Nevertheless, in view of a new price list that has been issued, tender average prices climbed slightly. Moreover, experienced traders say the effect of the world economic situation may soon have a significant impact on teak trade. Indian buyers seem noticeably silent this month, while Thailand’s buying of lower grades of SG5 and SG6 was buoyant.
6. BRAZIL
Regional workshop focuses on productivity of the timber sector Folha de Boa Vista noted that a regional workshop on public policies for the timber and furniture sectors had been held in the Northern Region of Brazil during the second week of September. The purpose of the workshop was to find ways to make productivity of the sector more dynamic in the region. The workshop generated a document to assist in establishing projects and strategies to reduce bureaucratic public policies in the Amazon and stimulate timber production activities in the region.
The workshop was promoted by the Brazilian Micro and Small Enterprises Support Service (SEBRAE) and targeted government officials, technicians, researchers and entrepreneurs who contribute to establishing regulatory frameworks for sustainable timber and furniture production in the Amazon region. The workshop included lectures about sustainability, access to technology, innovation, governmental procurement under the General Law on Micro and Small Enterprises and experiences about the formulation of public policies for the timber and furniture sector in Le Marche region of Italy.
Brazil steps up efforts to curb deforestation
According to Assessoria de Imprensa and Diário de Araxá, some Brazilian state governments were strengthening their environmental laws to combat deforestation. The government of Minas Gerais will submit a draft bill to the Legislative Assembly on the quota for annual consumption of wood and by-products from natural forests. If the bill were approved, Minas Gerais would be the first Brazilian state to adopt environmental legislation with fixed quotas on the use of raw material originating from natural forests. The quotas in Minas Gerais would range from 15% to 5%, declining gradually by 2017, with the aim of reaching zero levels of deforestation of native vegetation cover by 2023. Currently, there is no legal restriction on the use of raw forest material in Minas Gerais and industries can meet 100% of their raw material needs with resources obtained from natural forests.
At the national level, the Brazilian Ministry of Environment announced that at least five countries, including Japan, Sweden, Germany, Korea and Switzerland, in addition to Norway (see TTMR 13:17), were interested in investing in the Amazon Fund. The Fund, which was established by Decree No. 6527 in August 2008, will be managed and monitored by the National Bank for Economic and Social Development (BNDES). BNDES expects to receive public and private contributions at the domestic and international level to invest in the prevention and monitoring of deforestation in Brazil.
Exports drop 25.8% in August 2008 Brazil’s wood products exports (except pulp and paper) dropped from USD394.4 million in August 2007 to USD292.5 million in August 2008, a 25.8% decrease. The charts below show the volume and value of exports for August 2008 compared to the same month a year earlier:
Changes in international timber market could be opportunity for Brazil According to Madiera Total, experts have speculated that recent changes made to Russian timber export tariffs and a future recovery of the US real estate market may be opportunities for Brazil’s timber industry. Russia has increased taxes on log exports, which will lead to soaring costs for its raw log exports and has left open opportunities for producer countries of finished products such as plywood, doors and flooring. Since Brazil has the capacity to increase exports of wood products and offers certified products, the Brazilian Association of Mechanically-Processed Timber Industry (ABIMCI) believes this could be a good opportunity for the Brazilian wood industry’s recovery.
Dubai continues to be seen as major furniture importer Portal Moveleiro has reported on Dubai and the United Arab Emirates’ (UAE) potential to attract greater furniture imports in the near future. Dubai has shown growth in its furniture imports in recent years. The furniture market in Dubai and the UAE in general is directly linked to an upper class market and the real estate sector, both of which are growing to a great extent. New buildings are being built in Dubai every day and as a result, furniture producers are planning to invest in the city.
According to the Brazilian Arab Chamber of Commerce, growth of UAE furniture imports has been high in recent years, at around 20%; thus, there is a possibility exports of Brazilian furniture to the UAE will grow. According to the Chamber of Commerce, the boom in the real estate sector and the large number of immigrants to the UAE may boost demand for Brazilian furniture.
In addition to Dubai, there are other Arab countries that could be considered potential markets for Brazilian furniture. The countries in the Gulf area, such as Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait, are promising markets and have great prospects for growth.
7. PERU
Wood exports grow 10% in first half According to statistics from the Export Association of Peru (ADEX), wood exports from January through July 2008 grew 10%, with exports rising USD137 million from USD123.52 million from the same period in 2007.
Exports in July 2008 were USD2.47 million less than exports for the same month in 2007. The volume exported to US and Mexico continued falling in July, in contrast to the Chinese market, which showed gains in export volumes during the same month.
The sectors showing significant growth for the January – July period were: building products (108.5%); veneers and plywood (36.3%); semi-manufactured products (27.8%). Among the products showing weakening export value were furniture and parts (-18.4%) and sawnwood (-1.6%).
Sawnwood was the largest export item, representing 46.5% of sector exports. Exports from January –July 2008 were USD63.66 million, while for the same period in 2007 exports were USD64.69 million. The main markets for this sub-sector were Mexico, United States, China which received 52.2%, 25.4%, 10.6% of sawnwood exports, respectively.
Semi-manufactured products represented 29.2% of wood sector exports. Exports in January – July 2008 were valued at USD 40.01 million, while exports for the same period in 2007 were valued at USD31.29 million, a 27.8% rise in exports against 2007. Exports of semi-manufactured products in July 2008 increased by USD1.13 million from July 2007 levels. These gains were due largely to the progressive growth of exports such as decking, for which China has been the main destination market (70.8% of exports).
Veneer and plywood exports for the January–June 2008 period were USD17.62 million, a 36.31% jump from the same period in 2007. Exports from the sub-sector show Mexico as the main market for Peru’s exports (89.97%) followed by Venezuela (6.69%).
Furniture exports were worth a value of USD8.2 million during the period, a 18.4% decrease from the same period in 2007. The main market destination for these products was the US (58.6%), followed by Italy (23.4%). Furniture exports have substantially diminished in the current period largely due to the recession in the US, the main destination for Peru’s furniture.
During the January–June 2008 period, exports were concentrated in three markets representing 85.5% of total wood products exports. Mexico represented 37.9% of exports in the sector, growing 40.8% when compared to the previous year, followed by China (25.6%), which has grown 43.0% over the same period. The US was the third destination market, representing 22.0%, although its total exports fell 30.6% from first half of 2007.
8. BOLIVIA
9. MEXICO
CONAFOR aims to increase production to 10 million m3 The Director General of the National Forest Agency (CONAFOR) announced that one of the main goals of the presidential term is to increase timber production to 10 million m³. Over the last seven years, production has been reduced to 6.6 million m³ which only supplies one third of domestic consumption timber and the 1.6% GDP. Consequently, two thirds of wood products consumption requirements must be imported, which in 2006 resulted in a trade deficit of 5.165 million pesos.
Another objective of the present presidential administration is to incorporate 7.92 million ha of forest in SFM activities. At the moment, the federal government restores and conserves its forest through the ProTree programme.
10. GUYANA
Sawnwood exports continue to climb For the period 1 - 15 September 2008, sawnwood exports continued to climb and grew 32% when compared to the previous fortnight. The major destination continued to be the Netherlands, accounting for 23% of sawnwood exported over the period. Other destinations include Barbados, St. Lucia, Trinidad, St. Vincent, the UK, and the US.
However, log exports for 2008 up to the end of August 2008, were lower by both volume and value than the corresponding period in 2007. Other timber products including sawnwood, roundwood and splitwood have increased overall and have taken up most of the fall in revenue created by the decline in log exports.
The export of roundwood piles has increased by 42% over the previous fortnight. These are mainly greenheart piles with some export of black kakaralli piles, one of the lesser used species (LUS) being promoted by the GFC with support from ITTO. The major destination for Guyana’s roundwood piles for the period was Venezuela (43%) followed by the US (24%), the Netherlands and Bahamas.
A number of LUS species were exported for the period under review. Burada is currently being used for the production and export of prefabricated housing and has been exported to Caribbean markets. Additionally, it is being processed and exported as timber and building components to the Netherlands. Other species such as darina, itikiboroballi, iteballi and suya have been exported to destinations such as India, the Netherlands and Trinidad, largely targeted for structural applications.
National consultation held to discuss policies on Amerindian Community Forestry Enterprises On 22 September 2008, the Government of Guyana hosted a national consultation with over 60 indigenous community members from 33 community groups across the ten administrative regions of Guyana. This workshop coincided with Guyana’s Amerindian Heritage Month observed in September of each year. The participants met to discuss and share experience on approaches that have been successful in community forestry and identify future needs to support livelihoods in these communities. Forests are one of the main resources available to many communities and to a significant extent supports income generation, employment and welfare of Amerindian groups.
One of the main objectives of the consultation was to inform various workers in the forestry sector about the government’s policies on indigenous groups and to gather feedback from the different regions on how the policies can better serve the interest of communities.
The feature address at the session was delivered by the Minister of Agriculture with responsibility for Forestry, Hon. Robert Persaud, who emphasized that Amerindian communities play a very important part in maintaining sustainable forest management at the forest management unit and community levels. The Minister noted that Guyana’s national log tracking system is largely monitored by Amerindian communities, thereby enabling the verification of the legality of origin of forest products at a national level. He further expressed that the Government of Guyana is of the firm view that sustainable development of indigenous forest communities in Guyana is best done using participatory forest management and community development approaches.
Among the challenges identified by the communities were the high cost of transporting forest produce to markets and lack of required capital resources to engage in desired added value forestry activities. The participants concluded that working management structures can prove vital in addressing some of their concerns at the community level.
|